Random News: Bull Market, a Night at the Tops

Random News: Bull Market, a Night at the Tops

Monday, Feb. 14, 2011
9:50 a.m.

By Joe Collins
CSNChicago.com

Happy Valentines Day! Heres hoping you didnt have to stand in line at Walgreens at 6am for a crack at a the remaining dented boxes of Russell Stover chocolates. But if you did, congratulations for being persistent. Is it just me or is Valentines Day like a trip to a 4am bar? Think about it. They all kind of revolve around a certain air of desperation:

Why am I losing sleep over this? Should I really be spending all this money? Why was I talked into celebrating this nonsense? Stupid peer pressure. And reallywhat will I get out of this by nights end?

Anyway

Here are some random thoughts and observations from the sports world:

BULL MARKET: The Bulls just went a combined 7-5 on Novembers Circus Trip and Februarys Ice Trip out west. It is the best such mark since the 97-98 season. And the news only gets better for the Bulls: four of the next six opponents are against teams that currently sit outside the playoff bubble (CHA, TOR, MIL, WAS). Of course, the Bulls do play San Antonio (Thursday) and Miami (Feb. 25th) in that stretch. But one of the Bulls biggest tests of the year will be when the calendar turns to March. Four of the first five games are on the road. The first three of them: at Atlanta, at Orlando, at Miami. Looks like they timed out this Joakim Noah recovery schedule just right, eh?

SHUFFLE THE DECK: There is still time to register for the Shamrock ShuffleChicagos 8K race that begins and ends in Grant Park and winds through downtown. The race is perfect for the novice runner because it contains a marathon-like atmosphere (nothing says motivation like trying to keep up with 40,000 of your closest friends), but the distance roughly five miles--- is a little more kind to your knees than a 26.2 mile marathon. And if youre a runner looking for a unique workout this week, I suggest the Lake Shore Drive trail: heck, the city plowed that path sooner than some of the side streets. If youre in the suburbs, try out the Swallow Cliff slides on Route 83 just west of LaGrange Road. Its like a StairMaster on a sugar high: 121 steps of muscle-building. Hey, with the weather soaring to near 50 this week, its time to break away from the poorly-ventilated gymnasium. Take advantage!

A NIGHT AT THE TOPS: It is a rarity in high school basketball when a 1 faces a 2 in the regular season. Saturdays City-Suburban showdown between top-ranked Simeon and 2nd ranked Benet could just as well be called the Halleys Comet game by that regard. OKOK, the occasion isnt that rare (Im sure that the top two teams have faced each other in the regular season more than once in the past 75 years), but this game should be a real treat for the eyes. Simeon defeated Benet in a classic double-overtime game in the Hinsdale Central Supersectional last season. This years tilt will take place Saturday at the UIC Pavilion, with tipoff at 8:45. Benet features Northwestern-bound guard David Sobolewski and future Wisconsin Badger, 6-10 Frank Kaminsky. Simeon counters with sophomore phenom Jabari Parker and a well-balanced, state champion lineup. Both teams are undefeated and ranked nationally.
READ & WATCH: Complete preps coverage

SPRING TRAINING: Keep up with CSNChicago.com for all the latest news from spring training. Our Cubs insider Patrick Mooney will be on the beat this week in Mesa and Chuck Garfien will have up-to-the-minute information from White Sox camp in Glendale starting on Wednesday. Follow them on Twitter: @CSNMooney and @ChuckGarfien.
READ: The fundamental nature of Mike Quade

AND FINALLY: Tune in tonight at 7:30pm for the Comcast SportsNet Awards, benefiting the March of Dimes. The honorees chosen are top athletes from Chicago's professional teams who have made considerable contributions to their teams and the Chicago community.

MORE INFO: The 2011 CSN Sports Awards

This year's honorees include: Duncan Keith (Blackhawks), Taj Gibson (Bulls), Marlon Byrd (Cubs), Gordon Beckham (White Sox), Israel Idonije (Bears), Sean Johnson (Fire), Ozzie Guillen (Lifetime Achievement Award), Jonathon Ruiz (Inspirational Athlete Award). The event will also present a special champions award honor to the 2010 Stanley Cup Champion Chicago Blackhawks. A special preview show will air at 7pm.

Bowl eligibility no sure thing for Notre Dame, especially with a loss to Syracuse

Bowl eligibility no sure thing for Notre Dame, especially with a loss to Syracuse

Notre Dame hasn’t fallen short of bowl eligibility since 2007, a year that invokes visceral reactions around South Bend. But at 1-3, Notre Dame’s chances of getting to six wins aren't necessarily healthy in 2016. 

S&P+ gives Notre Dame a 21 percent chance of going 6-6, a 9 percent chance of going 7-5 and a 2 percent chance of going 8-4, so added up that’s only a 32 percent chance of becoming bowl eligible. The most likely records, according to S&P+, are 5-7 (30 percent) and 4-8 (25 percent). Notre Dame has a better chance of finishing 2-10 (3 percent) than it does 8-4, by these numbers. 

(For more on S&P+ and the methodology behind it, click here)

The reason behind those, in all honestly, shockingly low numbers: only three games in which S&P+ favors Notre Dame to win going forward. Those are Syracuse (65 percent), Navy (71 percent) and Army (78 percent). Win probabilities for Notre Dame’s other games: 40 percent (N.C. State), 31 percent (Stanford), 28 percent (Miami), 36 percent (Virginia Tech) and 39 percent (USC). 

FEI is more optimistic about Notre Dame’s bowl chances, giving the Irish a better than 60 percent chance to win games against Syracuse, N.C. State, Miami, Navy, Army and Virginia Tech. But FEI also gave Notre Dame a 90.8 percent chance of beating Duke heading into last week, which is less an indictment of the numbers and more an indictment of how poorly the Irish played against the Blue Devils. 

Syracuse, though, looks like it’ll present a difficult challenge for Notre Dame. The Orange rank 36th in offensive S&P+, largely due to their excellent passing game (15th in success rate). Notre Dame ranks 78th in defensive S&P+ and 121st in passing success rate, which certainly looks like a concerning matchup.

Syracuse’s defense is bad, though (101st in S&P+), so Notre Dame’s top-15 offense should be able to put up some points. In short: Expect a shootout if Notre Dame does win on Saturday at MetLife Stadium. 

But if Notre Dame loses to fall to 1-4, sound the alarms. Or start planning your football-less vacation during bowl season. 

Bears: Jay Cutler goes from 'limited' in practice to 'DNP' on Thursday

Bears: Jay Cutler goes from 'limited' in practice to 'DNP' on Thursday

The Bears' quarterback situation, expected to resolve with Brian Hoyer starting Sunday against the Detroit Lions, appeared to tilt a little further in that direction as Jay Cutler, limited in practice on Wednesday, did not practice at all on Thursday.

Cutler, clad only in sweats and no helmet, tossed passes to receivers in individual warmups but did not participate as he and the team opted to rest his injured right thumb, which forced him out of the Dallas game.

“I think we just didn’t want to aggravate it more,” head coach John Fox said. “A thumb on a throwing hand of a quarterback is a delicate situation. So we just figured we wouldn’t go out there and have any stress on it.”

[SHOP: Gear up Bears fans!]

Sitting out entirely should not trigger alarm bells. Cutler has not been expected to start vs. Detroit and he had not done significant work in practice on Wednesday.

“It doesn’t take too much to quantify [as] ‘limited’ [in practice],” Fox said. “It’s kind of what it is. But we just felt it was better to just have him rehab and continue to strengthen it.”

Also out of practice and expected to miss the Lions game: running backs Ka’Deem Carey and Jeremy Langford, nose tackle Eddie Goldman and linebacker Danny Trevathan.

Limited: Alshon Jeffery (knee/hamstring), Josh Sitton (shoulder). Jonathan Bullard (toe), Willie Young (knee), Harold Jones-Quartey (concussion), Sherrick McManis (hamstring) and Tracy Porter (knee).