15 on 6: Sunday could build confidence for Cutler

15 on 6: Sunday could build confidence for Cutler
December 26, 2010, 2:21 am
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Saturday, Dec. 25, 2010
8:15 PM
By Jim Miller
CSNChicago.com

Protect the Passer

Tomorrow's game presents a good challenge for Jay Cutler and company. The Jets have multiple sacks in six of their seven road games this season. The pass protection of Jay will be paramount for the Bears to keep their No. 2 seeding for the playoffs. There is a lot on the line for both teams as the Jets come to town attempting to earn a playoff berth.

Third Downs

When playing against a Rex Ryan-led defense, it always comes down to winning on third down. The Bears must convert at a minimum of 40 percent tomorrow, which is a big challenge vs a Rex Ryan-run defense. Defensively, the Jets run what they call "Chaos" on third downs. It looks like chaos to a fan or the opponent, but it is very coordinated and well schemed. Simply, it is multiple blitzers overloadingoutnumbering one side of the offensive line. Rex will attack protection schemes, which have been faulty for the Bears most of the season. He wants to to obliterate what the Bears have been doing well, which is playaction pass protection. Therefore, Cutler's pass production must be on first and second down, not third downs! Third down and medium situations need to be a run down for the Bears where as Martz gets a feel for Rex after the first two series calls the right run call away from the Blitz.

This will be a low scoring game, unless special teams can blow it open. Expect a 14-13 game. Defense will rule the day on both sides. This is a huge test for Jay to be patient and throw the ball away. He must understand one bad decision decides the outcome. The Jets are not a juggernaut of a team offensively, even though their skill position players dictate they should be. If Jay plays his cards smartly by having a turnover free game, the Bears win.

Importance

Not only is this game important for earning a No. 2 seed for the playoffs, it also would provide a jolt for the confidence of Jay and the offense. If the Bears can pass this test versus a quality opponent which they were unable to accomplish against New England, they would be difficult to stop in the playoffs.

Jim Miller, an 11-year former NFL quarterback, is a Comcast SportsNet Bears analyst who can be seen each week on U.S. Cellular Bears Postgame Live. Miller, who spent five seasons with the Bears, analyzes current Chicago QB Jay Cutler in his "15 on 6" blog on CSNChicago.com and can be followed on Twitter @15miller.