The critiques and probings for the last couple of months have all been on players how they have performed, how they project to perform, how they measure and so on.The Bears have done all of those analyses but the one they did before the process ever started will matter more than that of any pass rusher, wide receiver or anyone else in this draftPhil Emery.This is the first time Emery is in charge of a draft and that was the chief area of operations for which he was hired. He kept the scouting staff and head coach and that staff in place after his hiring. A reasonable conclusion from that is that the Bears are not suddenly going to morph into some completely unrecognizable drafting organization.The area scouts here are as fine as youre going to find in the NFL, Emery said. They know how to go about their job.So Im excited to see how we do as a group and as a team in attacking the question of whose the best player thats going to help us now, at each level, each spot in the draft, at each one of our picks, that brings us closer to a championship.The overly simplistic assessment of Emery is that he comes from the fuzzy notion of a Patriot Way of building teams. Emery never worked for New England but he worked under twogeneral managers Thomas Dimitroff in Atlanta, Scott Pioli in Kansas City who did but have not achieved a fraction of the New England success on their own.Thats not enough automatic insight, that somebody worked for somebody who worked someplace else. The keys to a persons future so often lie in the past and Emerys does not fit conveniently into the Patriots way. (Besides, pretty much any Way probably works if you find Tom Brady in a sixth round sometime).Finding a Bears Way?Lovie Smith is quick to correct any reference to the Mike Martz offense or the Tampa-2 defense, speaking only in terms of the Chicago Bears offense. He and Emery also will be about the business of a Bears Way now.Emery was with the Bears longer than with any other organization (1998-2004), a consideration in his hiring as general manager. And its a suggestion that he has more schooling in the Bears Way under Mark Hatley and Jerry Angelo than any other.Emery gives due credit to that Patriots Way but also to the others hes been part of over the past 15 or so years.In terms of taking from my past, in terms of process, I learned a little from everybody along the way, Emery said. Its a long process but the important thing is that you can draw it to a conclusion in a positive way and get to the players that you are most orientated to, that you feel are going to do the most for your football team, impact playmakers, the producers.The Emery BearsNo high draft picks are made in a vacuum, although degrees of control can vary from Piolis control style in Kansas City to Angelos consensus approach. So blaming or crediting one individual for a pick hit or miss is rarely accurate.Emery began in the NFL under Hatley and was the Bears area scout for the Northeast in 1998-99. During that time the Bears drafted Curtis Enis No. 1 out of Penn State, someone who fooled everyone from Joe Paterno on down (or up, depending on your JoPa feelings). Deride the Enis pick if you like, but Bill Belichick (New England) and Tom Coughlin (Jacksonville) were working the Bears in an effort to trade up to get him.They also selected Jerry Azumah from New Hampshire in the 1999 fifth round, converted him to cornerback and ended up with a Pro Bowl kick returner. Somebody gets some credit there for seeing a college tailback (and Walter Payton Award winner) who could convert to the other side of the ball. From 2000-2004 Emery was the area scout for the Southeast. The Bears picked wideout Dez White from Georgia Tech and tight end Dustin Lyman from Wake Forest in third rounds (2000); in 2002 cornerback Roosevelt Williams from Tuskegee and guard Terrence Metcalf from Mississippi (more South than Southeast) were selected in the third round of the 2002 draft.Alex Brown was a fourth-round hit out of Florida that year.After the Bears traded down and took Floridas Rex Grossman in 2003, Charles Tillman came in the second round in 2003 out of Louisiana-Lafayette. Safety Todd Johnson and Ian Scott, both from Florida, were hits in that draft.As with Enis, the Grossman pick can be ridiculed (and has been). He was also the starter in a Bears Super Bowl appearance and is still going in the NFL (Washington), so fairs fair here.The pressure has been on Emery since he arrived and he has handled that deftly with 10 roster additions via free agency and trade. If the pressure vise is squeezing him now, it isnt apparent.Im having a blast actually, Emery said with very obvious relish. Im having a good time. Im having the time of my life. Its a great city, great fans. Im enjoying every second of it.
Back in 1992 the Dallas Cowboys were in draft deliberations around the No. 17 spot of the first round, looking for upgrades on defense. A scout made a suggestion that they target Ohio State defensive end Alonzo Spellman, one of the most physically imposing (6-4, 280 pounds) players and best athletes in that draft.
Coach Jimmy Johnson responded, "Tell me about the production."
Came back the answer: Three years at OSU, nine total sacks.
"Oh, please!" Johnson scoffed, calling in cornerback Kevin Smith and leaving Spellman to the Bears at No. 22. Spellman had several respectable seasons but never more than 8.5 sacks in nine NFL seasons.
As investment advisers counsel, past performance is not necessarily a predictor of future results. But past performance can be, and an axiom in NFL personnel rooms is, look at the film.
CSNChicago.com is doing that as the NFL Scouting Combine approaches (Feb. 29) along with free agency and the start of the league year and its trading window. It becomes an increasingly relevant exercise to look at the intricacies behind some of the key players and positions the Bears will be addressing through the upcoming weeks. CSNChicago.com previously looked at the need to evaluate quarterbacks from the intangible standpoints first, then the measurables.
Using Jay Cutler as an object lesson for how immense physical skills have questionable correlations to immense NFL performance, a look at one aspect of quarterback "film" warrants more attention than the measurables that command a disproportionate share of attention and scrutiny.
It has been Cutler's single biggest issue through his eight Bears seasons, was a reason why coaches once wanted to stay with Josh McCown instead of returning to Cutler following a Cutler injury absence, and why Brian Hoyer played his way into prominence in the discussion of 2017 Bears plans. Adam Gase went from offensive coordinator to hottest head-coach prospect in no small measure because he managed Cutler into better ball security.
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But the point here is less Cutler – expected to be traded or released within the near future – than the level of ball security in the available options beyond Hoyer.
So, look at the film:
The widespread drooling over a possible trade with New England for Jimmy Garoppolo. The best thing in Garoppolo's favor is that he has been a Patriots backup to Tom Brady. Garoppolo, drawing distant comparisons to a Matt Flynn, Matt Cassel and other past experience-lite quarterback options, has thrown 94 NFL passes without an interception, which is impressive until matched against Hoyer's 200 last season without an interception, for comparison purposes.
But evaluating Garoppolo against the coming chief draft competition – DeShone Kizer, Mitch Trubisky, Deshaun Watson – suggests comparing apples to apples, meaning college ball security, since that's all the kids have to this point.
Garoppolo vaulted up draft boards (to New England's second round) on the strength of an Eastern Illinois senior season with 53 touchdown passes vs. nine interceptions, against chiefly FCS opposition. But in his first three seasons Garoppolo threw for 65 touchdowns and was intercepted 42 times.
Kizer? In his two Notre Dame seasons, 47 touchdowns, 19 interceptions.
Trubisky? 30 touchdowns last season, six interceptions. Including his two years as a North Carolina backup, 41 touchdowns, 10 interceptions.
Watson? 90 touchdowns, 32 interceptions in three Clemson seasons, the last two as Tigers starter.
Garoppolo put in four college seasons, but has a little of the Trubisky/Flynn/Cassel, one-year-wonder feel.
Kizer and Watson have more starting seasons, but the Watson intangible of getting his team to two national-championship games speaks to another level of "intangible."
GM Ryan Pace will incorporate heavy input from coach John Fox and coordinator Dowell Loggains. Coaches love ball security. Garoppolo? Watson? Trubisky? Kizer?
Look at the film.
In this edition of the BearsTalk podcast, CSN's Chris Boden, Sun-Times Bears beat writer Patrick Finley, and CSNChicago.com's Scott Krinch discuss the Bears' approach to the two-week window opening to franchise-tag Alshon Jeffery again, the risk/reward in trading for Jimmy Garoppolo or drafting a QB (and how high to draft one), Scott's 2.0 mock draft, plus the workers' compensation controversy the team found itself in last week and the club's decision to raise ticket prices.
Listen to the full episode at this link or in the embedded player below: