Mullin: Mock drafts differ on Bears selection

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Mullin: Mock drafts differ on Bears selection

Sunday, March 20, 2011
Posted: 7:31 p.m.
By John Mullin
CSNChicago.com

The thinking on the Bears first-round pick in next months draft is still in its formative stages at Halas Hall but its never too early to play what-if.

CSNChicago.com last week detailed three mock drafts for the Bears, all different: Wes Bunting at the National Football Post giving them Florida center Mike Pouncey; Don Banks of Sports Illustrateds SI.com projecting Mississippi State tackle Derek Sherrod as a Bear; and Nolan Nawrocki of Pro Football Weekly predicting Miami tackle Orlando Franklin to be a Bear.

To give you an idea how difficult it is to accurately project what a team at No. 29 will do, here are three more reputable mock Bears: Peter Schrager of FOXSports projects the pick to be Florida State guardcenter Rodney Hudson; Scout.coms John Crist has the Bears going defense with Oregon State strongboy Stephen Paea, a tackle who can bench press a Buick; and WalterFootball.com likes Illinois defensive tackle Corey Lieget for the Bears, after previously leaning toward Pouncey.

So, to sum up: six mock drafts, six different Bears picks and four predicting the Bears go for an offensive lineman with the other two staying on defense.

And the mock draft pick of CSNChicago.coms View From The Moon? Offense. But thats all well say at this point. More on why later this week.

The case for OL

Were there free agency right now, expect the Bears to be pursuing Green Bay endtackle Cullen Jenkins first and possibly Seattles Brandon Mebane second. And the fact that a resolution is all but assured says the Bears can keep their powder dry, go offensive line at the top of their draft and address DT in due course, relying on the avalanche of free agents to keep prices at least reasonable.

A concern with Jenkins is that, while he missed only two games in his first four seasons, he has played all 16 in just one of his last three seasons, although his 7 sacks in 11 games in 2010 jumps out.

But Jenkins also just turned 30 in January and would give the Bears a starting front four composed entirely of 30-somethings: Jenkins, 30; Anthony Adams, 31; Israel Idonije, 30; and Julius Peppers, 31.

Mebanes production fell off the past two seasons but the Seahawks drafted him when Tim Ruskell was running things and Ruskell is now the No. 1 assistant to Jerry Angelo.

Feeling a draft II
I looked last week at how some of the proposed rules changes on kickoffs would likely hurt the Bears and other teams with top special units, which the Bears have starting with Devin Hesters returns. The changes also hit certain teams, including the Bears, in other ways.

The Bears invested a second-round draft choice (2006) in Hester, not as a cornerback, not as a receiver, but as a returner. The Seattle Seahawks recently gave returner Leon Washington, who returned 3 kickoffs for touchdowns, a four-year deal worth 12.5 million. Washington has been a solid running back but the Seahawks were locking up a returner more than a backup for Marshawn Lynch.

So, if youre running your teams draft, how much do you factor in the return abilities of a prospect? For that matter, if Hester were coming out of Miami this year, would the Bears even have taken him? Certainly not in the second round.

On the other hand, you have a kicker like Robbie Gould who put in all the work needed to add length to his kickoffs, which were coming from 30-yard line. Now the league is giving him the five yards he worked so hard to add. The league couldve saved him a whooole lot of work.

Non-talk talks

Sorting through wheat and chaff these days with respect to meaningful information on the NFL and NFLPA (were still going to call the decertified players union that, for purposes of brevity) isnt easy. Kudos to Mike Florio at ProFootballTalk.com for staying on that horse as it bucks and lurches.

Mike has a fast look at the latest comments from John Mara of the New York Giants but he also has a quick jump to the letter from Kevin Mawae, Drew Brees and multiple players to NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell which fires back at some of the things the Commish intimated in a letter to players (http:tinyurl.com4nukcyz). Hint: Theyre not happy with Roger.

John "Moon" Mullin is CSNChicago.com's Bears Insider, and appears regularly on Bears Postgame Live and Chicago Tribune Live. Follow Moon on Twitter for up-to-the-minute Bears information.

View from the Moon: Bears make statement in taking tight end while passing on defensive backs

View from the Moon: Bears make statement in taking tight end while passing on defensive backs

With their second pick in the 2017 draft, the Bears addressed offense and did it in a way that, when coupled with one of their main offseason moves, makes for some very interesting what-ifs for the upcoming season.

The choice at No. 45 was tight end Adam Shaheen, who at 6-foot-6 and 278 pounds becomes the second significant addition at the position following the signing of Dion Sims (6-foot-4, 270 pounds) to a three-year deal. In a sometimes over-specialized NFL, the Bears have brought in not one but two every-down tight ends.

“Yeah, that’s accurate,” general manager Ryan Pace said. “So it opens up a lot of possibilities for our offense.”

The acquisitions of Shaheen and Sims hold some intrigue, if only because of sheer bulk, because the inescapable conclusion with the commitments to big tight ends is that the Bears might be serious about running the football. They ran 28.4 percent of their 2016 plays in personnel packages of two or three tight ends or with a tight end and fullback.

Under coordinator Dowell Loggains the Bears ran the football just 39.3 percent of the time in 2016. Head coach John Fox and Loggains cite the Bears’ frequent need to play catch-up as the reason why, though in 12 of the 16 games the Bears were tied, led or were within seven points at halftime. In fairness to Fox and Loggains, the Bears in fact arguably did not have the physical firepower at tight end to sustain a smash-mouth base of operations.

That said, both Shaheen and Sims also have a fully formed receiver side to their games, which is where the bigger-picture interest lies. Shaheen had 122 receptions over his last two seasons at Ashland. Sims caught 36, 25 and 35 passes in his final three years with the Miami Dolphins. Both Shaheen and Sims were high school basketball standouts; Shaheen played a year of basketball at the University of Pittsburgh-Johnstown, while Sims was dual-recruited for football and basketball at Michigan State after finishing fourth in voting for Mr. Basketball in Michigan in 2009.

“I definitely think (the basketball stuff) helps,” Pace said. “Half the time, it’s like these tight ends are going up for a rebound and boxing out. And (Shaheen) definitely has it. When we talk about body control and catching radius, the ball is not always going to be on target. And Adam has the ability to do that. We confirmed that through the tape, and Frank (Smith, tight ends coach) was able to confirm it during the workout.”

Why not take a defensive back?

During the NFL owners meetings this spring, Pace said that the draft's depth of talented options was a factor in free-agency decisions as well as the draft. So his willingness to trade down in the second round of this draft was expected, given that it has been rated as one of the best-ever drafts for quality and depth at defensive back.

Of course, these were the same experts’ analyses that concluded that no quarterback would be drafted before the middle of the first round, when in reality three went in the first 12 picks after teams traded up, so ... oh, never mind.

The NFL collective seems to agree with the take on defensive backs: Of the 107 players selected through three completed rounds, 29 (27.1 percent) have been defensive backs (18 cornerbacks and 11 safeties). Meaning more than one-fourth of the 2017 draft picks have been defensive backs.

What wasn’t expected was Pace then making no move at either cornerback or safety even after the trade-down that recovered much of the draft capital expended to deal up to No. 2 for Mitch Trubisky. When the Bears’ pick at No. 45 came around, the Bears instead chose a smaller-college tight end.

First thoughts were that Pace agreed with thinking that said starter-grade corners in particular could be had as late as the fourth round — he reacquired a fourth-round pick in the trade with Arizona, giving him two (Nos. 117 and 119) — or that he had been outflanked by a sudden minor run on defensive backs. In the eight picks from No. 36 (the Bears’ original second-round slot) to No. 43, four defensive backs were snatched up, three of them safeties.

That clearly didn’t bother Pace, though the Bears ended Friday with a plan to take a revised look in the defensive back direction.

“Yeah, we’re going to have to kind of sort through it tonight and we’ll be here late tonight and early in the morning,” Pace said. “Kind of resetting our board and going through it again. We’re going to take best player available, and if it ends up being offensive players, that’s what it is.”

Adam Shaheen travels a different path to being the Bears’ second-round pick

Adam Shaheen travels a different path to being the Bears’ second-round pick

Adam Shaheen was a couple of things coming out of high school in Galena, Ohio: He was 6-foot-4 and weighed about 195 pounds, and was headed to Division II Pittsburgh-Johnstown to play basketball. 

Four years later, the Bears on Friday made the now 6-foot-6, 278 pound tight end their second-round draft pick. He was the fifth tight end selected, behind first-rounders O.J. Howard (Tampa Bay, No. 19), Evan Engram (New York Giants, No. 23), David Njoku (Cleveland, No. 29) and Gerald Everett (Los Angeles Rams, No. 44). 

Shaheen said he missed football after a year of playing basketball (he played football at Big Walnut High School in Ohio), with 2013’s memorable Ohio State-Wisconsin game giving him the itch to return to the sport. He wasn’t big enough to play football when he came out of high school, but coaches at D-II Ashland University saw something in him following his freshman hoops year and brought him into the program.

Then the weight gain began. Shaheen, initially weighing 225 pounds, was Ashland’s No. 3 tight end in 2014. And he continued to grow in his final two years there. 

Shaheen described how he bulked up last month at the scouting combine in Indianapolis:

“A lot of Chipotle burritos,” Shaheen said. “A lot of burritos. No, it all honestly it was a lot of burritos.” 

It wasn’t as easy a process as housing burritos would seem, though. 

“It was just a grind,” Shaheen said Friday. “You know, to put on that kind of weight and still maintain my athleticism, it was a good grind for two years.”

Shaheen went from catching two passes in nine games in 2014 to totaling 122 receptions for 1,670 yards and 26 touchdowns in his final two years at Ashland. Few players at the D-II level have the opportunity to pass up a final year of eligibility — Shaheen could’ve been a fifth-year senior in 2017 — to turn pro, but there wasn’t anything left for him to accomplish. 

“I did all I could really do to help my draft stock there,” Shaheen said. “Another year at that level — I didn’t think after discussing it with my family and friends and stuff it was really going to increase my draft stock if I did similar to what I did the previous two years.”