Sick bay: Cutler good, Forte fine, Knox optimistic

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Sick bay: Cutler good, Forte fine, Knox optimistic

The 2011 season may stand as the ultimate 'might-have-been' for coach Lovie Smith. A five-game win streak had the Bears at 7-3 before season-ending injuries to Jay Cutler and Matt Forte in the span of six quarters.

For all of the criticism leveled at the organization for not knowing Caleb Hanie was bad, Smith is more interested in what the Bears are with Cutler and Forte than what they arent without them.

I think, just that in itself I think most of the teams that didnt go to the playoffs, we have an excuse for why we didnt make it there, but that was a pretty good football team, Smith said. I didnt think I thought wed be able to handle that situation better, but we didnt play with two pretty good football players and I just cant wait to get them back on the field and go through an entire season with them.

Unless Forte goes the unlikely route of sitting out the season in protest over a franchise tag, Smith should have that chance. We dont see anything major as far as injuries that were going to have to deal with coming up, Smith said.

Cutlers thumb injury was healing to the point where he was a possibility for the playoffs had the Bears reached them. Forte was recovered enough to play in the Pro Bowl.

Johnny Knoxs gruesome back injury left him and anyone who saw it frightened and then relieved. His exact return plan is uncertain but the Bears are encouraged.

Johnnys rehabbing every day, making a lot of progress and I cant wait to get him back out on the football field, Smith said.

Smith said Brian Urlacher is in perfect health after his final-game knee injury. And as far as age, Smith finds the 'your-guys-are-really-old' doomsayers amusing to a point.

In time when he cant play anymore football, five, six years, you media and I both will probably be long gone in retirement then and Brian will still be playing, Smith said.

Tackle Gabe Carimi was dubbed the Bears best offensive lineman when he went down with a knee injury in game two. Surgery was delayed until December but the hope is that he will be healed by training camp.

I dont know exactly when Gabe will be ready right now off the top of my head, Smith said. I just know I see him every day working and everything is going as planned and theres no reason to think Were excited about Gabe Carimi will bring. We talk adding pieces and I look at him as a free agent were adding to the mix. Hes a first-round draft pick who barely played for us last year.

Want to be in on Bears QB deliberations? 'Look at the film'

Want to be in on Bears QB deliberations? 'Look at the film'

Back in 1992 the Dallas Cowboys were in draft deliberations around the No. 17 spot of the first round, looking for upgrades on defense. A scout made a suggestion that they target Ohio State defensive end Alonzo Spellman, one of the most physically imposing (6-4, 280 pounds) players and best athletes in that draft.
 
Coach Jimmy Johnson responded, "Tell me about the production."
 
Came back the answer: Three years at OSU, nine total sacks.
 
"Oh, please!" Johnson scoffed, calling in cornerback Kevin Smith and leaving Spellman to the Bears at No. 22. Spellman had several respectable seasons but never more than 8.5 sacks in nine NFL seasons.
 
As investment advisers counsel, past performance is not necessarily a predictor of future results. But past performance can be, and an axiom in NFL personnel rooms is, look at the film.
 
CSNChicago.com is doing that as the NFL Scouting Combine approaches (Feb. 29) along with free agency and the start of the league year and its trading window. It becomes an increasingly relevant exercise to look at the intricacies behind some of the key players and positions the Bears will be addressing through the upcoming weeks. CSNChicago.com previously looked at the need to evaluate quarterbacks from the intangible standpoints first, then the measurables.
 
Using Jay Cutler as an object lesson for how immense physical skills have questionable correlations to immense NFL performance, a look at one aspect of quarterback "film" warrants more attention than the measurables that command a disproportionate share of attention and scrutiny.
 
Ball security.
 
It has been Cutler's single biggest issue through his eight Bears seasons, was a reason why coaches once wanted to stay with Josh McCown instead of returning to Cutler following a Cutler injury absence, and why Brian Hoyer played his way into prominence in the discussion of 2017 Bears plans. Adam Gase went from offensive coordinator to hottest head-coach prospect in no small measure because he managed Cutler into better ball security.

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But the point here is less Cutler – expected to be traded or released within the near future – than the level of ball security in the available options beyond Hoyer.
 
So, look at the film:
 
The widespread drooling over a possible trade with New England for Jimmy Garoppolo. The best thing in Garoppolo's favor is that he has been a Patriots backup to Tom Brady. Garoppolo, drawing distant comparisons to a Matt Flynn, Matt Cassel and other past experience-lite quarterback options, has thrown 94 NFL passes without an interception, which is impressive until matched against Hoyer's 200 last season without an interception, for comparison purposes.
 
But evaluating Garoppolo against the coming chief draft competition – DeShone Kizer, Mitch Trubisky, Deshaun Watson – suggests comparing apples to apples, meaning college ball security, since that's all the kids have to this point.
 
Garoppolo vaulted up draft boards (to New England's second round) on the strength of an Eastern Illinois senior season with 53 touchdown passes vs. nine interceptions, against chiefly FCS opposition. But in his first three seasons Garoppolo threw for 65 touchdowns and was intercepted 42 times.
 
Kizer? In his two Notre Dame seasons, 47 touchdowns, 19 interceptions.
 
Trubisky? 30 touchdowns last season, six interceptions. Including his two years as a North Carolina backup, 41 touchdowns, 10 interceptions.
 
Watson? 90 touchdowns, 32 interceptions in three Clemson seasons, the last two as Tigers starter.
 
Observations:
 
Garoppolo put in four college seasons, but has a little of the Trubisky/Flynn/Cassel, one-year-wonder feel. 
 
Kizer and Watson have more starting seasons, but the Watson intangible of getting his team to two national-championship games speaks to another level of "intangible."
 
GM Ryan Pace will incorporate heavy input from coach John Fox and coordinator Dowell Loggains. Coaches love ball security. Garoppolo? Watson? Trubisky? Kizer?
 
Look at the film.

BearsTalk Podcast: The risk and reward for Bears in trading for Jimmy Garoppolo

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USA TODAY

BearsTalk Podcast: The risk and reward for Bears in trading for Jimmy Garoppolo

In this edition of the BearsTalk podcast, CSN's Chris Boden, Sun-Times Bears beat writer Patrick Finley, and CSNChicago.com's Scott Krinch discuss the Bears' approach to the two-week window opening to franchise-tag Alshon Jeffery again, the risk/reward in trading for Jimmy Garoppolo or drafting a QB (and how high to draft one), Scott's 2.0 mock draft, plus the workers' compensation controversy the team found itself in last week and the club's decision to raise ticket prices.

Listen to the full episode at this link or in the embedded player below: