Hawk Talk: How Cap Increase Affects Hawks

Hawk Talk: How Cap Increase Affects Hawks

Wednesday, April 7, 2010
9:57 AMBy Brett Ballantini
CSNChicago.comThis is the latest update of a series of articles written over the course of this season that anticipate the changes the Chicago Blackhawks will make in the coming offseason with regard to the salary cap.Last Saturday came the news from Glenn Healy of CBCs Hockey Night in Canada that based on the strength of the Canadian dollar, the NHL salary cap will increase by approximately one percent, to 57.7 million, for the 2010-11 season. Healy cautioned that the increase will depend on current postseason revenue estimates holding up.This is a pretty huge development for Blackhawks GM Stan Bowman and his charges. For much of the year the assumption has been that per commissioner Gary Bettman himself, the salary cap would remain steady in 2010-11, not topping the 57 million mark.That additional wiggle room will be the difference between keeping one more core player and having to let him go. Heres an educated guess at how the summer shuffle will wrangle out, with an assist from the cap hit chart at CapGeek.com:The Core (4)
There are four incomparable Blackhawks cogs. Under no circumstances will they leave Chicago anytime soon.RW Marian Hossa: 5.3 million
C Jonathan Toews: 6.3 million
LW Patrick Kane: 6.3 million
D Duncan Keith: 5.5 million
Total: 23.4 millionThe Essentials (5)
With more than a third of the cap tabbed for the core four, the next area of concern is the essential players. These five players arent necessarily better than the remainder of the teamthey are simply the most logical pieces for the Blackhawks to keep, no-brainers nearly on the level of the Core Four.With rookie Antti Niemi stealing the starters role from veteran Cristobal Huet, the Blackhawks goalie tandem should look different come fall, after Bowman packages Huets hefty contract along with a promising player or two. Plausibly, the Blackhawks can aim to extend Niemi at a modest rate and either rely on a young goaltender like Corey Crawford for 20 games or go shopping for one of many veteran netminders on the market at a discount price tag as well.Niemi makes 826,875 this season and is an arbitration-eligible restricted free agent, so the Blackhawks wont lose himit will simply be a matter of how much at least one more season of the wunderkind will cost. This long-range (summer) estimate presumes Niemi not only establishes himself as a stopper and has a good playoff run. Niemis price tag will jump, so lets figure on a four-year deal at 10 million, which would triple the rooks 2009-10 salary to 2.5 million per season.Kris Versteeg also falls off the list of essentials given his unpredictable play. A team this close to Cup contention, with cap issues, may not be able to afford to carry such an elusive talent as Versteeg. His focus and temperament can vary wildly. On the other hand, Patrick Sharp has shown terrific flexibility in sliding over to center during Dave Bollands absence, and in the process has made himself much more indispensible with solid playmaking and disciplined two-way play. Sharps cap hit is steep at 3.9 million, but hes proving worth it with his best all-around Blackhawks season yet.With the Blackhawks locking up Keith long-term, it only makes sense to consider his blue line mate, Brent Seabrook, an untouchable. His 3.5 million contract seems just about right. Hell be due for an extension in 2011-12.Two other essential players make the list, primarily due to value per dollar. Defenseman Niklas Hjalmarsson and right wing Troy Brouwer are outperforming their contracts. Hjalmarsson is barely 100 games into his NHL career but shows signs of being a star defender. The Babyfaced Gangster makes a mere 643,333, and as a restricted free agent after the season, it would make sense to lock Hjalmarsson uplets say 2 million per.Brouwer is signed for next season at a shade more than 1 million, which also makes him one of the biggest bargains on the team. Hes just moved to the first line alongside Toews and Kane, and the Wild Mans role should only increase as veterans are purged this summer.G Antti Niemi (2.5 million)
D Brent Seabrook (3.5 million)
D Niklas Hjalmarsson (1.7 million)
RW Patrick Sharp (3.9 million)
RW Troy Brouwer (1 million)
Total: 12.6 million

The Keepers (2)
Two players who perhaps arent the best bargains on the team will nonetheless be Blackhawks for years to come: defenseman Brian Campbell (7.1 million) and center Bolland (3.4 million). Both players are big contributors to Chicagos success, just at a cost thats more prohibitive than practical for a club wrestling with the salary cap the way the Blackhawks are. Soupys blue-chipper deal makes him untradeable, while coach Joel Quenneville is so enamored of Bollands ice awareness that it seems hell be in Chicago at least as long as the mentor is.D Brian Campbell (7.1 million)
C Dave Bolland (3.4 million)
Total: 10.5 million

The Bubble Players (12)
With 46.5 million on the books for 2010-11 and 10 players still needed to fill out the roster, this is where the squeeze begins. At an estimated cap of 57.7 million, that means those 10 players will basically have an average salary of a million dollars apiece.If you look at the five players youd consider filling out the 2010-11 team with who are currently on the roster and under contract: G Cristobal Huet (5.6 million)
D Dustin Byfuglien (3 million)
RW Kris Versteeg (3.1 million)
RW Tomas Kopecky (1.2 million)
D Brent Sopel (2.3 million)
Total: 15.2 millionand add the seven free agent players youd round out the roster with today with rough estimates of the costs of new contracts: C John Madden (2 million)
C Colin Fraser (800,000)
RW Adam Burish (800,000)
LW Andrew Ladd (1.8 million)
LW Ben Eager (1 million)
D Kim Johnsson (2 million)
D Jordan Hendry (700,000)
Total: 9.1 millionadd 24.3 to the overall estimate for keeping the team intact, pushing the total team salary to a mind-boggling 70.8 million.With 13.1 million that will need to be trimmed away, the ugly truth is that the Blackhawks cannot afford to bring all 12 bubble players back.Some snap decisions can be made to winnow the cuts down: Johnsson even at this return price of less than half of his 2009-10 salary is unlikely to return, Sopel is too pricey as a third-pair player, Huet has played his way out of Chicago, and the relatively low cost of Crawford (800,000), Fraser, Burish and Hendry make them safe bets to be on the roster. That puts the Blackhawks at 15 players making 49.6 million, leaving 8.1 million to be divided to fill out the roster. Six possibilities to come back in 2010-11, with the list to pick from looks like:D Dustin Byfuglien (3 million)
RW Kris Versteeg (3.1 million)
RW Tomas Kopecky (1.2 million)
C John Madden (2 million)
LW Andrew Ladd (1.8 million)
LW Ben Eager (1 million)
Total: 12.1 millionIt looks from here that Madden and Byfuglien are most on the bubbleVersteeg is in some jeopardy and will be coveted by many teams, but both he and Ladd have better efficiency from a points or a rating-per-dollar standpoint.Trimming Mad Dog and Big Buff would leave an empty space on the third pairing and at center. Those gaps could be filled out by Rockford call-ups like Bryan Bickell (re-signed at 600,000), Jake Dowell (500,000), or Kyle Beach (1,200,000) on offense and Richard Petiot (re-signed at 500,000) or Simon Danis-Pepin (85,000) on the blue line. Youd then have a depth chart along the lines of:Center: Toews, Bolland, Fraser, Dowell
Left Wing: Kane, Ladd, Eager
Right Wing: Hossa, Sharp, Brouwer, Burish, Versteeg, Kopecky
Defense: Keith, Seabrook, Hjalmarsson, Campbell, Hendry, Petiot
Goalie: Niemi, CrawfordThats 21 players at a cost of 57.7 million.See, the dirty work is already done, Stan

Brett Ballantini isCSNChicago.com's Blackhawks Insider. Follow him @CSNChi_Beatnikon Twitter for up-to-the-minute Hawksinformation.

Blackhawks Talk Podcast: Expectations for John Hayden in the playoffs

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USA TODAY

Blackhawks Talk Podcast: Expectations for John Hayden in the playoffs

On this episode of the Blackhawks Talk Podcast, Tracey Myers and Pat Boyle breakdown Tuesday's controversial ending with Vancouver. They discuss whether Darling was interfered with on the game winning goal and did Toews deserve a penalty for running into Ryan Miller?

They also discuss the expectations for John Hayden and the tough lineup decisions at forward, that Joel Quenneville will have in the playoffs.

Tracey weighs in on who has been the more impressive goalie tandem, Crow and Emery in 2013 or this year's pair, Crow and Darling?

Listen to the full episode at this link or in the embedded player below:

Blackhawks want to finish strong while staying fresh for postseason

Blackhawks want to finish strong while staying fresh for postseason

Every team has goals it wants to hit at various parts of the season. At the start you want to be strong so you can save yourself a mad scramble to get into the postseason. In the middle, you want to just keep pace, get through that drudgery known as games 40-60.

But what about the end? If you're a playoff-bound team it's about reaching balance: you want to play your best hockey but also want to get your rest and conserve energy for the "next season."

The Blackhawks are in this mode right now. The postseason berth has been wrapped up. They've hit the 100-point mark and still maintain a six-point lead in the conference/division. So with nine games left the Blackhawks will try to get that overall play they had through most of February while being mindful of rest.

"We have [nine] to go and want to make sure we're fresh. At the same time, we want to be competitive," coach Joel Quenneville said. "We're looking to play games and in games, if we have a chance to back off a little bit, that'll be dictated by the score, the time of the game."

Entering their last two games trailing by two, the Blackhawks haven't had the chance to back off. They've had to do the opposite. Quenneville has said the team's four-line rotation, which was great in February, hasn't been there the past few games. Part of that could be due to injury. Artem Anisimov has missed the last three-plus games with a left-leg injury and is still expected to miss another 2-3 weeks. The Blackhawks have found ways to win despite that, but want to get back to more consistent hockey.

"Obviously we still want to try to win our division you want to be playing well," Brian Campbell said. "The last [few] games have been OK, spurts and stuff, so we want to ramp it up. There are some guys who can probably back off if they need or want to, there are those situations. It's a good situation to have. But this team's been around, they know how to prepare and get ready for it."

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So does Quenneville. We've reached that time of the season when the Blackhawks won't practice much, if at all. They're playing every other day and their morning skates are their versions of practice. As for in games, the Blackhawks know how to keep their energy up there, too.

"I think just playing good hockey and taking short shifts is key. You're not extending shifts to a minute and a half, two minutes," Ryan Hartman said. "You're conserving some long-term energy."

The Blackhawks are nearing the regular-season finish line but another race awaits them. They want to be ready for the postseason but they don't want to get too relaxed down the stretch.

"It's still the regular season. Nobody's taking the foot off the gas pedal. We're still trying to win hockey games and you want to come into the playoffs with a winning atmosphere and winning attitude," Hartman said. "Take every game one at a time and don't try to play conservative. Play good and winning hockey."