Is Soto more valuable to the Cubs in a trade?

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Is Soto more valuable to the Cubs in a trade?

HardballTalk's Matthew Pouliot continues his preseason projections heading into spring training with the Top 10 catchers.

The Cubs' Geovany Soto made the list at No. 8, coming in at a projected .799 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) in 422 at-bats.

Buster Posey of the Giants heads up the list with an .878 OPS projection. Only he and Brian McCann of the Braves are projected for a better OPS than Soto in the National League.

Soto's OPS in 2011 was .721 in 421 at-bats, but that includes a low .310 OBP -- the lowest of his career -- and a .228 batting average contributed largely to that low total.

In 2010, Soto hit .280 with a .393 OBP and .497 SLG, good for an .890 OPS. By Pouliot's projections, that would put the Cubs backstop atop all catchers.

Pouliot's prediction brings about two questions, and neither are related to Soto's final numbers.

For one, who will make up those other 150 or so at-bats at the catcher position? Koyie Hill appeared in 46 games last year for the Cubs, putting up a horrible .545 OPS in 134 at-bats. But Hill is gone and the Cubs are left with three options right now -- Steve Clevenger, Welington Castillo and Jason Jaramillo.

Jaramillo is a veteran with significant MLB experience while Clevenger and Castillo are young up-and-comers. Will the new Cubs management team of Theo Epstein, Jed Hoyer and Dale Sveum be comfortable with Clevenger or Castillo taking the backup catcher role in 2012? Or will Jaramillo be the choice based on experience?

The other question is Soto's status with the team. His numbers will be there so long as he's on the field. Injuries are impossible to predict, but he very well could wind up in a different uniform by the time the season ends.

The 29-year-old catcher remains one of the Cubs' best trade chips and several contending teams could enlist in his services before the year is out.

Let's just assume for a second that Pouliot's projections will be exactly how things play out. Only two of the catchers ahead of Soto on the list played for playoff teams in 2011. Posey's return should make the Giants contenders once again and the Indians and Braves would not be huge surprises if they earn a postseason berth in 2012.

The Phillies, Brewers, Cardinals, Yankees and Rays do not have a catcher on this list. These five 2011 playoff teams all expect to contend for 2012 on some level. If the second Wild Card is added for each league this year, that will just create more challengers who could be looking for an upgrade at catcher.

With the Cubs in the midst of rebuilding and not expecting to contend in 2012, Soto may be more valuable to the long-term prospects of the team in a trade, rather than suiting up in the blue and red catcher's gear for 135 games.

Brett Anderson’s personality mixing well with Cubs: ‘I don’t hate anybody yet’

Brett Anderson’s personality mixing well with Cubs: ‘I don’t hate anybody yet’

SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. – Joe Maddon's T-shirt slogans can get a little old at times, but the Cubs manager found a new audience in Brett Anderson, who liked the idea of "Be Uncomfortable" after signing a one-year, prove-it deal with the defending champs.

"It's been awesome so far," Anderson said. "That's my running joke – we're a month into it now or whatever it is – and I don't hate anybody yet.

"That's a testament to the group as a whole – and maybe me evolving as a person."

Yes, Anderson's sarcasm, social-media presence and groundball style fits in with a team built around short-term pitching and Gold Glove defense. The if-healthy lefty finished his Cactus League tour on Saturday afternoon by throwing four innings (one unearned run) during a 7-4 loss to the Colorado Rockies in front of 13,565 at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick.

Anderson will open the season as the No. 4 starter after a camp that has been remarkably low-key and drama-free.

"I'm kind of cynical by nature, but it's a fun group to be a part of," Anderson said, "(with) young guys that are exciting and happy to be here. And then obviously the mix of veterans, too, that are here with intentions of winning another World Series."

To make that happen, the pitching staff will have to again stay unbelievably healthy. Anderson rolled with a general question about how he physically feels now compared to where he's usually at by this time of year.

"Obviously better than last year, because I was walking with a gimp and all that stuff," said Anderson, who underwent arthroscopic surgery to repair a bulging disk in his lower back last March. "No, my body feels good, my arm feels good and you're getting into the dog days of spring training where you're itching to get to the real thing."

Joe Maddon breaks down the Matt Szczur vs. Tommy La Stella decision for Cubs

Joe Maddon breaks down the Matt Szczur vs. Tommy La Stella decision for Cubs

MESA, Ariz. – Matt Szczur vs. Tommy La Stella appears to be the final decision as the Cubs shape their Opening Night roster.

That's assuming good health – manager Joe Maddon sounded unconcerned about Ben Zobrist (stiff neck), Addison Russell (stiff back) and Albert Almora Jr. (stiff neck) – and the Cubs carrying an eight-man bullpen.

Maddon appeared to eliminate one variable, confirming that La Stella has signaled a willingness to go to Triple-A Iowa if necessary, which would normally be an obvious statement, except for last summer's "Where's Tommy?" episode.

"I haven't even thought about it," Maddon said during Saturday's media session at the Sloan Park complex. "It's not an issue. I thought we handled it pretty openly last year and there's been no blowback whatsoever from the players."

Beyond this – La Stella initially refused to report to the minors last July, moved back home to New Jersey and talked briefly about retirement – an American League scout and a National League scout tracking the Cubs in Arizona both agreed that Szczur looks like the superior player.

Plus Szczur – and not La Stella – is out of minor-league options now.

"When you get this kind of a talent, depth-wise, it's a wonderful problem to have," Maddon said. "And then, of course, the rules start creeping in. The rules in this situation would benefit Matt, which is a good thing, because he's a big-league guy that's been riding the shuttle. He's done it in a very stoic manner, and he's been great for us."

La Stella has allies in the clubhouse – Jake Arrieta got a Coastal Carolina tattoo on his right butt cheek after losing a College World Series bet – and goes about his routine in a quiet, diligent manner.

La Stella is not a distraction at all and can hit left-handed and play the infield – two attributes that Szczur can't bring to Maddon's bench.

"Matt Szczur, to me, is a Major League Baseball player," Maddon said. "You're seeing what Tommy can do from the left side of the plate right now. And then it's just a matter of balancing things out. We've already mentioned that some guys on the infield can play the outfield within this group, thus it presents differently regarding what you need."

[MORE CUBS: Javier Baez won’t change his style around Cubs after World Baseball Classic: ‘We’re not showing anybody up’]

Szczur is hitting .361 with a .994 OPS through 14 Cactus League games and can play all over the outfield. But that skill is diminished when the Cubs already have four established outfielders plus Zobrist and Kris Bryant able to shift from the infield.

Then again, defensive wizard Javier Baez should have the Cubs covered all across the infield in case of an emergency. With the defending World Series champs a week out from facing the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium, we're about to find out if Maddon made his recommendation or had a possible trade scenario or disabled-list situation in mind.

"I love Matt Szczur," Maddon said. "This guy as a teammate – you're not going to get a better one. Nobody's going to get a better one on any team for any reason.

"We haven't decided everything or anything yet. Stuff happens in a very short period of time. He is a major-league baseball player. So we'll just wait a couple more days, see how it plays out. But he's a benefit to any group that has him."