Breaking down the Danks deal

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Breaking down the Danks deal

The White Sox announced the terms of John Danks' five-year, 65 million contract extension on Thursday. Here's how it breaks down:

2012: 8 million
2013-2016: 14.25 million

That 8 million salary next season will be a nice bargain. Danks was worth 14.2 million (per FanGraphs) in value last season as a three-win pitcher, and with inflation another three-WAR (Wins Above Replacement) season will provide another nice cushion of surplus value.

Paying Danks 57 million over the following four years should, at the worst, be market value if he averages around three wins a season. With inflation, it'll be somewhat of a favorable deal for the White Sox, probably around the same level that Mark Buehrle's four-year, 56 million deal provided about 10 million in surplus value.

Three WAR per season may be conservative, too. Danks has already had four and five-WAR seasons, and he'll be entering his prime, so there's a good chance he'll have a year or two during the length of the deal in which he's a 4-5 WAR player.

One season at that level would be enough to make the deal quite favorable to the Sox, or at the least potentially offset a down year (either performance-wise or injury-related).

To sum it up, it's a good deal for the White Sox. It's also a good deal for Danks -- I mean, he's getting 65 million guaranteed. There isn't an option year involved. And he'll hit free agency before his age 32 season, which still could yield a nice three or four-year deal on the market.

White Sox Talk Podcast: Searching for the truth about Luis Robert with Keith Law and Jesse Sanchez

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White Sox Talk Podcast: Searching for the truth about Luis Robert with Keith Law and Jesse Sanchez

With the White Sox expected to sign highly coveted Cuban prospect Luis Robert, there are many questions left unanswered about him: how good or great can he be? How do we even pronounce his last name? There have been various opinions to both.

In the latest White Sox Talk Podcast, Chuck Garfien and Ryan McGuffey interview ESPN senior baseball writer Keith Law and MLB.com's Jesse Sanchez whose reporting on Robert have unveiled two different projections about the 19-year-old outfielder.

A high ranking scouting director told Sanchez that Robert "is the best player on the planet." Scouts who have spoken to Law question Robert's hitting and Law passionately defends his sources on the podcast. 

Later, Chuck and Ryan answer questions from Facebook Live about what prospects Sox fans are most excited to see play in a Sox uniform.

Listen to the latest White Sox Talk Podcast right here:

Fast Break Morning Update: White Sox, Cubs both drop series openers

Fast Break Morning Update: White Sox, Cubs both drop series openers

Here are some of Monday's top stories in Chicago sports:

Preview: Cubs look to bounce back vs. Giants tonight on CSN

White Sox fall to Diamondbacks in series opener

Cubs can't complete another miracle comeback against Giants bullpen

Should Blackhawks' next assistant coach be Joel Quenneville's choice?

How Bears are using veteran videos to school rookies on NFL way

Luis Robert the latest high-end acquisition for White Sox

For Joe Maddon, Cubs winning World Series came down to Giant comeback in SF and avoiding Johnny Cueto in elimination game

Carlos Rodon 'getting closer' but still without time frame for return

Have the Cubs found their new leadoff hitter in Ben Zobrist?

MMQB's Peter King's thoughts on Trubisky, Howard, White and the Bears offense