Early 2012 Sox projection: 77 wins

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There's still plenty of time for offseason moves, but a recent projection doesn't inspire much confidence for the 2012 White Sox.

As the White Sox roster currently stands, CAIRO projects the team to win 77 games next season, a full 10 games behind second-place Cleveland and 12 behind Detroit. The projection system gives the White Sox -- in their current state -- a 4.8 percent chance of making the playoffs.

Let me emphasize this again: in their current state. The White Sox currently have not traded away anybody but Sergio Santos. So, by this projection, a team with John Danks, Gavin Floyd and Carlos Quentin would win 77 games.

It could be worse, though. Minnesota is only projected as a 66-win team, while Miami is only seen as a .500 team. And the Angels, even with Albert Pujols and CJ Wilson, are projected to finish behind Texas in the AL West..

Of course, take these -- like any projection -- with a grain of salt, because there's plenty of room for luck to positively or negatively influence a record over the course of a 162-game season. And these aren't taking into account any moves made between now and opening day.

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