The five most important hits of the White Sox season

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The five most important hits of the White Sox season

Jordan Danks earned the White Sox a win last night a win last night, belting a walk-off home run with two outs in the ninth to push his team past Oakland, 4-3. But it wasn't the biggest hit of the season by a White Sox player.

Briefly: Win Probability Added is a stat that measures how positively or negatively a player's performance affected his team's chances of winning a specific game. In the case of Danks, when he came to bat in the ninth, the White Sox had a 53.3 percent chance of beating Oakland. His home run -- because it was a walk-off -- gave the White Sox a 100 percent chance of winning, and thus, he increased his team's chances of winning by 46.7 percent, which is a WPA of .467.

Anyways, on to the top five plays, as measured by WPA:

1. Dayan Viciedo: 628 vs. New York, .513 WPA

Source: FanGraphs

With the White Sox down 3-1 in the top of the ninth, Viciedo cranked David Robertson's offering over the left-field fence at Yankee Stadium for a three-run homer, a seismic shift in the Sox chances of winning the game. The White Sox went from having a 31.3 percent chance of victory to 82.4 percent with on swing of the bat.

2. Adam Dunn: 55 vs. Detroit, .485 WPA

Source: FanGraphs

The White Sox only needed a run to tie Detroit in the top of the ninth, and with Alejandro De Aza on third with one out, all Dunn had to do was hit a sacrifice fly. He one-upped that, homering off Jose Valverde to give the Sox a 3-2 advantage. The White Sox went from a 33.5 percent chance of winning to 80.9 with Dunn's homer, and as of Saturday morning, that's the difference between alone in first and a tie for first in the AL Central.

3. Jordan Danks: 810 vs. Oakland, .467 WPA

Source: FanGraphs

The first walk-off home run of the list was not only Danks' first career home run, but it was also the first walk-off homer he hit at any level, from Little League to the pros. Unlike Viciedo and Dunn's blasts, the White Sox had a decent chance of winning the game when Danks stepped up, at 53.3 percent (tie games generally favor the home team). But for all the walk-offs the White Sox have had this season, Danks' blast stands as the biggest.

4. Alexei Ramirez, 425 vs. Oakland: .449 WPA

Source: FanGraphs

The White Sox tied things up in the ninth on Paul Konerko's 400th home run (which, by the way, had a WPA of .350), which sent this late-April game spiraling into extra innings. Finally, the Sox broke through with two outs in the 14th on a two-run double by Ramirez...but Hector Santiago allowed a game-tying two-run homer to Yoenis Cespedes (.478 WPA) and a walk-off single to Kile Ka'aihue (.301 WPA), and the A's went from a 3.8 percent chance of winning to 100 percent in the inning.

5. Alex Rios: 58 vs. Cleveland, .383 WPA

Source: FanGraphs

The White Sox steadily built a lead that was quickly erased in the eighth, but Rios' 10th-inning triple scored Brent Lillibridge from first and put the Sox back ahead 4-3. The hit dashed Cleveland's hopes of winning, which fell from 49.9 percent to 11.7 on the hit.

Fast Break Morning Update: White Sox win, Cubs drop fourth straight

Fast Break Morning Update: White Sox win, Cubs drop fourth straight

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Preview: Chris Sale faces Jose Quintana, White Sox Tuesday on CSN

Preview: Chris Sale faces Jose Quintana, White Sox Tuesday on CSN

 

The White Sox take on the Red Sox on Tuesday, and you can catch all the action on CSN and live streaming on CSNChicago.com and the NBC Sports App.

Coverage begins with White Sox Pregame Live at 6:30 p.m. Be sure to stick around after the final out to get analysis and player reaction on White Sox Postgame Live.

Today’s starting pitching matchup: Jose Quintana (2-6, 4.82 ERA) vs. Chris Sale (5-2, 2.34 ERA)

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