Notre Dame grades: Evaluating an offense limping into the bye week

Notre Dame grades: Evaluating an offense limping into the bye week

With the Irish in a bye week, we’re grading Notre Dame’s offense, defense, special teams and coaching staff after seven games. Yesterday was the coaching staff, today is the offense:

Quarterbacks: B

What’s gone right: What a strange season it’s been for this position. DeShone Kizer looked infallible over the first five weeks of the season, throwing for 14 touchdowns against four interceptions and racking up 1,567 yards. Notre Dame’s red zone efficiency significantly improved thanks to Kizer’s six rushing touchdowns in that span, too, helping keep this offense productive despite the departures of almost every key contributor from 2015’s group. 

While things took a turn for the worse in Notre Dame’s last two games before the bye week (more on that below), Kizer has proven over the last 13 months that he’s more than good enough to rebound from those back-to-back ineffective games. The bye week probably benefits him the most, as he can get away from a season that’s put an immense amount of pressure on him for a few days. 

What’s gone wrong: Kizer’s horrific stat line at N.C. State (9/26, 54 yards, 1 INT) can be explained by Notre Dame’s hard-headedness in forcing the redshirt sophomore to drop back and throw so frequently in Hurricane Matthew’s rain and wind. But the weather was clear, warm and dry a week later in South Bend, and Kizer completed 14 of 26 passes for 154 yards with two interceptions and was pulled from the game in the second half for Malik Zaire. 

Coach Brian Kelly’s message after the Stanford loss was that Kizer needs more help on offense, which is certainly true — Kizer was asked to do it all in the first seven games, and it only resulted in two wins. And against Stanford, Kizer looked tentative and not all together confident in his ability to prop up the rest of the offense. 

Combine the pressure on Kizer with an offensive line that hasn’t played up to expectations and that’s led to 16 sacks. The end of the Stanford game highlighted Kizer and the Irish offense’s problem: After driving Notre Dame to the Cardinal eight-yard line, Kizer was sacked, spiked the ball, and sacked again to end the game only a few yards from tying things up. 

Zaire hasn’t been effective in his limited time, completing six of 16 passes for 72 yards and rushing 11 times for 27 yards. 

Running backs: C

What’s gone right: Dexter Williams earned praise from Kelly for his tough, physical running against Duke and ripped off a 59-yard touchdown against Syracuse. Tarean Folston had a 54-yard run on his first carry since tearing his ACL in Week 1 of 2015 and had a handful of impressive runs against Stanford. Josh Adams, probably not coincidentally, had 100-yard games in both of Notre Dame’s wins. 

What’s gone wrong: It’s hard to pin all of Notre Dame’s ground game struggles on either the running backs or offensive line, but whatever the combination is, it hasn’t been effective. Notre Dame enters the bye week averaging 3.98 yards per carry, 93rd in FBS and down over a yard and a half from 2015’s average of 5.63 yards per carry (which ranked 8th). 

However it happens, Notre Dame needs to get more production from its running backs if it wants to effectively take the pressure of Kizer in these last five games. 

Wide receivers: B

What’s gone right: Equanimeous St. Brown has been a revelation, catching 31 passes for 611 yards with six touchdowns in his first seven games. He instantly became Kizer’s go-to target at Texas with his pair of touchdowns — including that highlight-reel somersault into the end zone — and had a ridiculous stat line of four catches for 182 yards and two touchdowns against Syracuse. 

Torii Hunter Jr. has at least four receptions and at least 60 yards in every game since returning from the concussion he sustained at Texas. He caught passes for a pair of impressive third-and-long conversions against Stanford, which were good examples of why the redshirt junior captain remains an important piece in the Irish offense. 

C.J. Sanders (18 catches, 260 yards, two touchdowns) and Kevin Stepherson (10 catches, 209 yards, three touchdowns) have shown flashes as explosive players this year, too. Stepherson’s continued emergence from an impressive spring practice has been a positive, and he’s the first true freshman receiver in the Kelly era to have three touchdowns in his first seven games (per College Football Reference’s play index).  

What’s gone wrong: In 2015, Kizer’s top four targets — Will Fuller, Chris Brown, Amir Carlisle and Hunter — each caught no less than 61.5 percent of their targets. This year, only Sanders has caught at least 60 percent of his targets: St. Brown is at 58.5 percent, Hunter 58.1 percent and Stepherson 52.6 percent. Granted, those numbers are certainly skewed by Hurricane Matthew, so we’ll see how they rebound over these final five games. 

But this is a young receiving corps that, as is the case with underclassmen, isn’t always as sharp as a group of juniors and seniors would be. The good news is this group has laid a relatively solid foundation on which to build next year, when St. Brown and Sanders will be upperclassmen and Stepherson will have two spring practices and a full season under this belt. 

Tight ends: D

What’s gone right: Durham Smythe’s touchdown against Michigan State helped fuel what was ultimately a too-little-too-late comeback effort.

What’s gone wrong: Losing Alize Jones prior to the season certainly dinged this group, which has seen Durham Smythe and Nic Weishar combine of 13 targets, seven catches, 87 yards and one touchdown. Combined with Notre Dame’s running game struggles, there just hasn’t been much production from this group in 2016.

Offensive line: C

What’s gone right: Mike McGlinchey announced earlier this month he’s planning on returning for a fifth year in 2017, which means Notre Dame at the least will return 87 starts on its offensive line next fall (92 if it reaches a bowl game). 

What’s gone wrong: It’s a little strange evaluating this group given that McGlinchey and Quenton Nelson are objectively excellent players, both of whom could wind up being first-round picks and stalwarts on NFL offensive lines someday. But the expectations for this group were high coming into the season, and for whatever reason — having four players playing new positions or being first-time starters is probably No. 1 — they haven’t been met. Notre Dame ranks 58th in adjusted line yards, 61st in opportunity rate and 86th in adjusted sack rate, and even when you distribute some of responsibility for those numbers to the rest of the Irish offense, they’re still below what this line was supposed to be in 2016. 

 

Is Brian Kelly out at Notre Dame if new QB Brandon Wimbush’s rocket arm doesn’t deliver for Irish in 2017?

Is Brian Kelly out at Notre Dame if new QB Brandon Wimbush’s rocket arm doesn’t deliver for Irish in 2017?

A 4-8 season in 2016 has put Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly firmly on the hot seat as he heads into his eighth season with the Fighting Irish.

In response to a tumultuous season, Kelly made major changes to his staff this past offseason by hiring new coordinators on both sides of the ball.

Mike Elko, who previously led Wake Forest to an FBS Top-40 total defense ranking, was hired by Kelly to be Notre Dame's defensive coordinator, and Chip Long — former offensive coordinator at Memphis — will now be in charge of the Fighting Irish offense.

However, the biggest change and arguably the No. 1 factor in Kelly's long-term future in South Bend, will be the person under center in 2017.

Barring an unforeseen circumstance, junior quarterback Brandon Wimbush — a former Rivals four-star recruit — will lead Notre Dame out of the tunnel in Week 1 vs. Temple.

Wimbush has only thrown five passes during his time at Notre Dame, but showed what kind of talent he has with a 58-yard rushing touchdown as a freshman in 2015.

Wimbush was one of the focal points of a recent Rivals story regarding quarterbacks who will be facing pressure in 2017

Earlier this week, Rivals Recruiting Director Mike Farrell gave his scouting report on the Notre Dame quarterback.


I’m a big fan of Wimbush but that hasn’t always been the case. It’s not that I didn’t like him when I first scouted him before his high school career took off, but what I saw way back when was a kid who had a rocket arm and zero touch. But throughout his high school career he improved every time I saw him, showed much more than just a strong arm and flashed impressive poise for his age.

I’ve seen very limited action when it comes to Wimbush in college as he hasn’t played often and his spring game performance had ups and downs, but I believe in this kid’s ability. He can extend the play, has that great arm and just needs to get comfortable in the Notre Dame offense and make sure he doesn’t try to use that cannon to fit the ball into tight spots. I can see him having some growing pains this season, but as he gets more comfortable and learns to take what the defense gives him while keeping defenses off balance with his athletic ability, I think he’ll finish strong.

Will Wimbush's rocket arm be enough to save Kelly from the hot seat?

That's still to be determined.

Two views of Notre Dame's 2017 signing day class

Two views of Notre Dame's 2017 signing day class

After a handful of late additions sent in their national letters of intent to the Guglielmino Athletics Complex, Notre Dame on Wednesday announced its 21-player recruiting class of 2017. There are a couple of ways to view the end of what was a volatile recruiting period for the Irish:

The glass-half-full take:

Two and a half months after wrapping up an embarrassing 4-8 season, Notre Dame's 2017 recruiting class ranks 11th by 247 Sports, 13th by Rivals, 13th by Scout and 16th by ESPN. In fact, Notre Dame actually ranks higher this year in 247 Sports' composite rankings (11th) than it did in 2016 (15th), when the Irish were coming off a 10-win season and a Fiesta Bowl berth. 

Nearly scraping together a top-10 class after going 4-8 and losing four assistant coaches in Mike Sanford, Mike Denbrock, Scott Booker and Keith Gilmore is an impressive feat (Greg Hudson was only an interim defensive coordinator, and Brian VanGorder was far from a reliable recruiter). Plenty of kudos should be extended the way of recruiting coordinator/defensive line coach Mike Elston for heading up the program's efforts to keep what began as a pretty strong class from disintegrating. 

Additionally, coach Brian Kelly pointed to the work of the 15 verbally-committed players who stuck with their pledges even as Notre Dame sustained a string of confounding losses and significant coaching turnover. 

"We couldn't be where we are today unless we had 15 student-athletes that were committed to Notre Dame from the start to the finish," Kelly said. "Really during a very difficult season, this group of 15 really had to endure the things that would occur out there in recruiting during a very difficult season. Other schools reminding them about a very difficult season that we had. Then there was them sticking together because of why they wanted to come to Notre Dame."

Five of those players enrolled early — tight end Brock Wright, offensive linemen Robert Gainsay and Aaron Banks, running back C.J. Holmes and safety Isaiah Robertson, all of whom 247 sports rated as four-star recruits — and guys like tight end Cole Kmet, quarterback Avery Davis and offensive linemen Joshua Lugg never wavered, too. 

That those players stuck together helped Notre Dame maintain a good base after the NCAA-mandated dead period lifted after the College Football Playoff title game last month, and new coaches Brian Polian, Mike Elko, Clark Lea, Chip Long and DelVaughn Alexander were able to bring in six late additions to the class: safety Jordan Genmark Heath, wide receiver Jafar Armstrong, kicker Jonathan Doerer, defensive lineman Myron Tagovailoa, linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and defensive lineman Kofi Wardlow. 

Armstrong, Tagovailoa and Wardlow all filled red-line positions of need, while adding more players to increase the pool of talent available to Elko is hardly a bad thing. 

But the optimistic viewpoint here is the deck was stacked against Notre Dame in recruiting, and they actually turned out a pretty good hand thanks to a complete effort from everyone in the athletic department. 

"Every weekend, Jack Swarbrick, our athletic director, met with our recruits," Kelly said. "That's unusual. I don't think that happens everywhere that your athletic director makes himself able to meet with recruits.

"In a lot of instances he had to be there to support our football program and talk to recruits about where this program is and where it's going. There are questions when a family comes on campus. He reminded them about the investment we were making in staff and what we were doing for the present and for the future. So having Jack's involvement in this was absolutely crucial to get to where we are."

Now, for the glass-half-empty take:

Notre Dame had six players decommit, five of whom were at positions of need (defensive line, cornerback, wide receiver). Only four-star defensive end Robert Beal jumped ship before Notre Dame's fall tailspin was underway, and four of those six decommitting players were four-star recruits. 

Notre Dame wound up replacing them with six late commitments, but five of those late-deciding players were three-star recruits and one (Doerner) was a two-star player. That's a good recipe for slipping from having a top-10 class to one on the outside looking in. 

A common lament among fans is that Notre Dame has struggled to sign five-star recruits lately, and while it's true the Irish haven't done that since 2013 — Jaylon Smith and Max Redfield, as rated by 247 Sports — that's not as big an issue as it may seem. Just look at the disparity in college success between Smith and Redfield as a front-and-center example of how a five-star rating doesn't guarantee success in college. Signing more four/five-star recruits than two/three-star ones is far more important (more on that in a bit). 

But the bigger issue with Notre Dame's 2017 class perhaps has more to do with its 2016 class. Notre Dame lost ace recruiters Tony Alford and Kerry Cooks after the 2014 season and re-worked its entire recruiting operation in response, which led to little oomph in a 2016 class that, based on the prior season, should've been much better than it was. 

Last year's group could ultimately build a legacy as a less-heralded crop of recruits that went on to success — the strong debuts of 247 Sports three-stars in cornerback Julian Love and wide receiver Kevin Stepherson were good starts — but there's a long way to go there. 

If 2016 was supposed to be a more transitional recruiting class, though, then 2017 represents a massive missed opportunity. Going 4-8 with all the right recruiting machinations in place is a glaring shortcoming for the future of the program — even a nine-win season could've allowed Notre Dame to hang on to some of those four-star players it lost and earn a top-10 class ranking. 

More importantly than a top-10 class, though, is pulling in more four- and five-star recruits than two and-three star ones. Notre Dame didn't do that in 2017 (10 four-star recruits out of 21) or 2016 (10 four-star recruits out of 23) after hitting that benchmark each of the last three recruiting cycles. That's a worrying trend given the correlation between signing a majority of four- and five-star recruits and winning a championship

The last two recruiting cycles have been, in that context, significant disappointment. While strong classes in 2014 and 2015 could prop up a playoff run as soon as this fall, the future of the program may not be on solid footing even if the Irish engineer a major turnaround in 2017. Next year's class likely will be critical to the long-term success of the program under Kelly, presuming he's still around to usher in the next group of recruits in February of 2018.